![Hope for the coffee market – arabica prices forecast to fall [World News]](https://foodcom.pl/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Foodcom_World_News_Global_Stock-1520x760.jpg "Hope for the coffee market – arabica prices forecast to fall [World News]")
- January saw another record increase in prices on the Arabica market. The price of coffee on the exchange rose by 150%.
- Analysts predict a reduction in Arabica harvests in the 2025/26 season, but a possible increase in the following year.
- These predictions and reduced demand have led to a predicted drop in Arabica prices by the end of the year.
Further record price increases in the arabica market
Recent weeks have been marked by record highs in terms of coffee prices. Prices are now at 1.5 times the end of 2024, despite the fact that there was already a 70% increase in prices last year. In January, consumer coffee prices were at their highest in 18 months, with more than a dozen records on the market.
The high prices are mainly due to the prospect of a smaller coffee harvest in Brazil in the 2025/2026 season. However, there is talk of an abundant harvest the following year – provided that the frost and rainy season can be survived relatively without crop damage.
Robusta and higher arabica production a hope for the coffee market
A survey conducted with traders and market analysts suggests that arabica prices could fall by up to around 30% by the end of this year. Experts believe that the recent record high prices will reduce demand, making it stagnant. Such forecasts are also influenced by early indications pointing to predictions of an abundant coffee harvest in Brazil next year.
There is also hope for the coffee market in the form of an abundant robusta harvest, which partially compensates for the decline in arabica production. The 2025/2026 harvest is forecast to increase in both Brazil and Vietnam. In 2025, prices are also expected to fall for this coffee variety.
We encourage you to read the recommended article: Arabica or robusta – what are the differences?
